Unmeasured Organic Anions as Predictors of Clinical Outcomes in Lactic Acidosis due to Sepsis.

Background and Objectives: In lactic acidosis, lactate can only explain 30% of the variance in the anion gap (AG), and the elevated AG not explained by lactate is due to unmeasured organic anions (UOAs). Some studies using less precise surrogates for UOA have suggested that UOA may predict clinical outcomes better than lactate. The aim of this study was to determine whether UOA predicts clinical outcomes better than lactate levels. Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: This was a retrospective cohort study of adult ICU patients with sepsis. Baseline AG and albumin measurements were obtained. An albumin-corrected delta AG was calculated. UOAs were estimated using the formula: Delta AG - serum lactate. A multivariate logistic regression model with its respective ROC curve was constructed to explore the relationship between in-hospital mortality, UOA, and lactate. Results: 526 patients were included. In the combined model examining both lactate and UOA, the odds ratio (OR) [95% CI] for predicting ICU length of stay (LOS) was 1.050 [1.029-1.072] and 1.022 [1.009-1.035], respectively; the OR [95% CI] for predicting in-hospital mortality was 1.224 [1.104-1.358] and 0.997 [0.943-1.054], respectively. The ROC curve for in-hospital mortality demonstrated that the Area Under the Curve (AUC) for lactate, UOA, and combined lactate and UOA was 0.7726, 0.7486, and 0.7732, respectively. The AUC for combined lactate and UOA were not statistically significantly higher than the AUC for lactate alone (P .9193). Conclusions: As expected, serum lactate predicted both ICU LOS and in-hospital mortality. UOA did predict ICU LOS, although the reason for this association is not known. UOA did not predict in-hospital mortality based on the OR and the ROC curve's AUC, contrary to some previous studies. However, our study used a more precise quantitative estimate of UOA, including the use of baseline albumin-corrected AG. Prior studies attempting to identify UOA have identified Krebs cycle intermediates including citrate and isocitrate, suggesting that in our study these anions associated with the Krebs cycle contributed to the UOA.

To scan or not to scan: Use of transient elastography in an integrated health system.

BACKGROUND: Non-invasive tests, such as Fibrosis-4 index and transient elastography (commonly FibroScan), are utilized in clinical pathways to risk stratify and diagnose non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In 2018, a clinical decision support tool (CDST) was implemented to guide primary care providers (PCPs) on use of FibroScan for NAFLD. AIM: To analyze how this CDST impacted health care utilization and patient outcomes. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of adults who had FibroScan for NAFLD indication from January 2015 to December 2017 (pre-CDST) or January 2018 to December 2020 (post-CDST). Outcomes included FibroScan result, laboratory tests, imaging studies, specialty referral, patient morbidity and mortality. RESULTS: We identified 958 patients who had FibroScan, 115 before and 843 after the CDST was implemented. The percentage of FibroScans ordered by PCPs increased from 33% to 67.1%. The percentage of patients diagnosed with early F1 fibrosis, on a scale from F0 to F4, increased from 7.8% to 14.2%. Those diagnosed with advanced F4 fibrosis decreased from 28.7% to 16.5%. There were fewer laboratory tests, imaging studies and biopsy after the CDST was implemented. Though there were more specialty referrals placed after the CDST was implemented, multivariate analysis revealed that healthcare utilization aligned with fibrosis score, whereby patients with more advanced disease had more referrals. Very few patients were hospitalized or died. CONCLUSION: This CDST empowered PCPs to diagnose and manage patients with NAFLD with appropriate allocation of care towards patients with more advanced disease.

Disease-Specific Factors Associated with Readmissions or Mortality After Hospital Discharge in COVID-19 Patients: a Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the implications of disease-specific factors beyond baseline patient characteristics for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may allow for identification of indicators for safe hospital discharge. OBJECTIVE: Assess whether disease-specific factors are associated with adverse events post-discharge using a data-driven approach. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Fifteen medical centers within Kaiser Permanente Southern California. PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients (n=3508) discharged alive following hospitalization for COVID-19 between 05/01/2020 and 09/30/2020. INTERVENTIONS: None. MAIN MEASURES: Adverse events defined as all-cause readmission or mortality within 14 days of discharge. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used for variable selection and logistic regression was performed to estimate odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). KEY RESULTS: Four variables including age, Elixhauser index, treatment with remdesivir, and symptom duration at discharge were selected by LASSO. Treatment with remdesivir was inversely associated with adverse events (OR: 0.46 [95%CI: 0.36-0.61]), while symptom duration ≤ 10 days was associated with adverse events (OR: 2.27 [95%CI: 1.79-2.87]) in addition to age (OR: 1.02 [95%CI: 1.01-1.03]) and Elixhauser index (OR: 1.15 [95%CI: 1.11-1.20]). A significant interaction between remdesivir and symptom duration was further observed (p=0.01). The association of remdesivir was stronger among those with symptom duration ≤10 days vs >10 days at discharge (OR: 0.30 [95%CI: 0.19-0.47] vs 0.62 [95%CI: 0.44-0.87]), while the association of symptom duration ≤ 10 days at discharge was weaker among those treated with remdesivir vs those not treated (OR: 1.31 [95%CI: 0.79-2.17] vs 2.71 [95%CI 2.05-3.59]). CONCLUSIONS: Disease-specific factors including treatment with remdesivir, symptom duration, and their interplay may help guide clinical decision making at time of discharge.

Association Between Dexamethasone Treatment After Hospital Discharge for Patients With COVID-19 Infection and Rates of Hospital Readmission and Mortality.

Importance: Current guidelines recommend use of dexamethasone, 6 mg/d, up to 10 days or until discharge for patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Whether patients who received less than 10 days of corticosteroids during hospitalization for COVID-19 benefit from continuing treatment at discharge has not been determined. Objective: To assess whether continuing dexamethasone treatment at discharge is associated with reduced all-cause readmissions or mortality postdischarge. Design, Setting, and Participants: A retrospective cohort study was conducted at 15 medical centers within Kaiser Permanente Southern California. The population included adults who received less than 10 days of dexamethasone, 6 mg/d, until discharge during hospitalization for COVID-19 and were discharged alive between May 1 and September 30, 2020. Exposures: Continued dexamethasone treatment at discharge. Main Outcomes and Measures: All-cause readmissions or mortality within 14 days from discharge. Results: A total of 1164 patients with a median age of 55 (IQR, 44-66) years were identified. Most patients were of Hispanic ethnicity (822 [70.6%]) and male (674 [57.9%]) and required oxygen support during hospitalization (1048 [90.0%]). Of the 1164 patients, 692 (59.5%) continued dexamethasone, 6 mg/d, at discharge. A balanced cohort was created using propensity score and inverse probability of treatment weighting. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for readmissions or mortality within 14 days was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.58-1.30) for patients who continued dexamethasone therapy at discharge compared with those who did not. Similar results were produced by a sensitivity analysis that restricted the treatment group to those who received exactly 10 days of dexamethasone (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.55-1.43) and by subgroup analyses stratified by the duration of dexamethasone treatment as an inpatient (1-3 days: OR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.43-1.16; 4-9 days: OR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.48-2.12), oxygen requirement at discharge (room air: OR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.53-1.59; supplemental oxygen use: OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.42-1.37), and disease duration at discharge (≤10 days: OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.49-1.33; >10 days: OR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.48-1.86). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of patients with COVID-19, continuing treatment with dexamethasone, 6 mg/d, at discharge was not associated with a reduction in 14-day all-cause readmission or mortality. This finding suggests that dexamethasone should not be routinely prescribed beyond discharge for individuals with COVID-19.